Deep emission cuts before mid-century decisive to reduce long-term sea-level rise legacy
Rising seas are irreversible on human time scales and among the most severe consequences of climate change.
Read more| Time |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
70%
|
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-11°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
28
|
SW
29
|
SW
28
|
WSW
27
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
23
|
W
21
|
WNW
20
|
NW
23
|
NNW
26
|
NNW
28
|
NNW
33
|
NNW
35
|
NNW
37
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
32
|
32
|
31
|
29
|
27
|
25
|
23
|
25
|
28
|
31
|
36
|
39
|
41
|
42
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
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01:00
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03:00
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11:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
20%
|
40%
|
70%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-11°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-13°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
38
|
NNW
38
|
NNW
36
|
NNW
31
|
NNW
28
|
NNW
24
|
NNW
22
|
N
19
|
NNE
17
|
NE
16
|
E
17
|
ESE
20
|
SE
25
|
SE
30
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SE
35
|
SE
41
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SE
45
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SE
51
|
SE
57
|
SE
62
|
SE
66
|
SE
66
|
SE
66
|
SE
65
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
42
|
42
|
40
|
34
|
31
|
27
|
24
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
22
|
28
|
33
|
39
|
45
|
50
|
56
|
63
|
68
|
72
|
73
|
73
|
73
|
71
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
96%
|
91%
|
88%
|
90%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
96%
|
97%
|
99%
|
99%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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08:00
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09:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
60%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
90%
|
80%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-6°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-8°
|
-9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
61
|
SSE
58
|
SSE
56
|
SSE
54
|
SSE
53
|
S
53
|
S
51
|
S
50
|
S
50
|
S
51
|
S
51
|
S
51
|
S
51
|
SSE
52
|
SSE
53
|
S
53
|
S
51
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S
49
|
S
47
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S
48
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S
49
|
S
49
|
S
48
|
S
49
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
67
|
64
|
62
|
60
|
59
|
58
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56
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55
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56
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56
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56
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56
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57
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58
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58
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58
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56
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54
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53
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54
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54
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54
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54
|
54
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| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
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VP
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VP
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VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
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VP
|
VP
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VP
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VP
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VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
|
99%
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99%
|
99%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
80%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-11°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
49
|
S
48
|
S
47
|
SSW
45
|
SSW
42
|
SSW
38
|
SW
35
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
35
|
W
37
|
W
40
|
W
41
|
W
40
|
W
39
|
WSW
39
|
WSW
39
|
WSW
38
|
SW
38
|
SW
39
|
SW
40
|
SW
40
|
SSW
39
|
SSW
39
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
54
|
53
|
52
|
50
|
47
|
42
|
38
|
36
|
38
|
41
|
44
|
45
|
45
|
44
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
42
|
43
|
44
|
44
|
44
|
43
|
43
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
99%
|
99%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
99%
|
98%
|
98%
|
98%
|
96%
|
94%
|
94%
|
96%
|
98%
|
97%
|
98%
|
99%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
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06:00
|
07:00
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08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-13°
|
-12°
|
-12°
|
-11°
|
-11°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-10°
|
-9°
|
-9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
37
|
SW
36
|
SW
35
|
SW
34
|
SSW
34
|
SW
34
|
SW
33
|
SW
32
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
32
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
30
|
WSW
35
|
WSW
33
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
28
|
SW
26
|
SW
30
|
SW
29
|
SSW
27
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
41
|
40
|
39
|
38
|
37
|
37
|
37
|
37
|
37
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
35
|
34
|
39
|
39
|
37
|
34
|
32
|
30
|
33
|
33
|
32
|
30
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
99%
|
97%
|
97%
|
95%
|
95%
|
94%
|
96%
|
97%
|
96%
|
96%
|
95%
|
96%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-9°
|
-7°
|
-7°
|
-6°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
26
|
SSW
21
|
SSW
22
|
SSW
28
|
SSW
27
|
SSW
27
|
SSW
27
|
SW
32
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
24
|
31
|
31
|
32
|
31
|
36
|
36
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
97%
|
97%
|
96%
|
92%
|
92%
|
94%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-5°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
-4°
|
-3°
|
-4°
|
-5°
|
-5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
33
|
SSW
32
|
SSW
28
|
SSW
21
|
SSW
23
|
S
23
|
S
21
|
SSW
24
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
36
|
36
|
30
|
26
|
27
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
95%
|
95%
|
94%
|
92%
|
91%
|
95%
|
95%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Cairn Toul weather map
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Sunny spells and showers, most frequent in north this afternoon
A rather chilly start to a bright day with sunny spells and showers. The showers few and far between this morning but expected to become more frequent this afternoon, especially across Moray and northern Aberdeenshire where it will become cloudier. Maximum temperature 10 °C.
Showers become increasingly confined to the Banff and Buchan coast this evening and overnight. Elsewhere long clear spells develop and, with winds falling light, a fairly widespread frost is expected. Minimum temperature -1 °C.
A mainly dry morning with long sunny spells. The sunshine turns increasingly hazy through the afternoon, with occasionally heavy rain spreading northeast from late afternoon. Strengthening southeasterly winds. Maximum temperature 11 °C.
Remaining unsettled with showers or longer spells of occasionally heavy rain, best chance of drier conditions with some sunshine on Sunday. Breezy at times, with southeasterly coastal gales on Friday.
Updated:
The changeable and at times unsettled weather is likely to continue through early November, with low pressure dominating the UK. This means further showers or longer spells of rain at times. All parts could see some heavy rain, but it is likely that western areas will be wettest. Strong winds are likely from time to time, with gales or severe gales a possibility. Equally there should also be some, at least brief, drier or clearer interludes, these more prevalent further east, but perhaps becoming a little more widespread and long-lasting by the end of the period. With winds predominantly blowing from a westerly or southwesterly quadrant, above average temperatures are most likely, with a reduced incidence of overnight frost and fog, compared to normal, especially at first.
Updated:
A gradual transition from an unsettled westerly type to something less unsettled is anticipated through the middle part of the month. With time, greater incidences of high pressure look set to affect the UK, bringing more in the way of dry weather, but also increasing the chances of overnight fog and frost. By later in the month, the majority of any wet and windy weather is more likely to affect areas further to the north. Overall, temperatures look to pan out near to a little above average.
Updated: