Carn Mor (Aberdeenshire) weather

Headline:

Bright, mild, mainly dry in north today. Cloudier in south.

Today:

Northern areas of Aberdeenshire and Moray seeing best of Scotland's weather with most dry with bright conditions and feeling quite warm. Southern areas cloudy with some patchy light rain. Southerly winds occasionally fresh around coasts. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

Tonight:

Clear spells at first in north, otherwise cloud thickening to bring rain from late evening, most persistent in far south and west towards dawn. Southerly winds occasionally strong across coasts. Minimum temperature 11 °C.

Wednesday:

Cloudy with occasional spells of rain, more persistent during the morning, increasingly patchy for the afternoon. Best of the shelter, late brightness and afternoon highs expected on the Moray coast. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Cloudy with occasional spells of rain. Gales probable from late Friday. Best of the shelter expected for coastal districts.

This period could begin with some very disturbed weather for the British Isles, with a deep low probably passing to the north or northwest of the country. This means there is potential for very strong winds and some further heavy rain, especially, but exclusively for more northern areas. Into the following week, a broadly westerly type looks most likely, with further weather systems running in from the Atlantic. On balance, southern areas stand a better chance of seeing longer drier interludes. However, confidence in the details remains on the low side, owing to ongoing Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. Overall, temperatures probably fairly close to average by day and whilst some overnight frost cannot be ruled out, especially later in the period, nothing overly cold is signalled at this stage.

A continuation of the broad patterns from the end of the 6-15 day forecast is anticipated at first, with the more unsettled conditions focussed towards northern areas and the best of the drier interludes further south, bringing the potential for some overnight frost and fog here. With time, there is a signal for more widely unsettled weather to develop, with more frequent bouts of wet and windy weather affecting a greater portion of the UK. Given the likelihood of westerly winds predominating, temperatures should average out a little above the seasonal norm, with overnight temperatures more often relatively mild, and with a reduced incidence of overnight fog, compared to normal.