Elgin (Moray) weather

Headline:

Cloudy and damp start then dry with sunny spells.

Today:

A cloudy and breezy start with outbreaks of rain then becoming dry through the morning. Remaining dry in the afternoon with good sunny spells and light winds. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Tonight:

Mainly dry with clear spells and light winds leading to a touch of frost. A band of cloud and the odd shower will move east for a time overnight. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Tuesday:

A cold start to the day with a frost for most places. It will remain dry with plenty of sunshine but perhaps some high cloud spreading east in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 9 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Mainly dry and bright on Wednesday but cloudier with outbreaks of rain later. Rain bands moving east followed by drier and brighter spells for the rest of the week.

High pressure looks to hold the greatest influence for much of this period, especially towards the south or southeast of the UK. This means that many places will see plenty of dry weather with variable cloud amounts and some sunshine. The best of the sunny weather is most likely towards the south or southeast. Some overnight fog is possible given clear skies and light winds. However, frontal systems are still likely to affect the north and west of the UK at times, perhaps pushing further east on occasion, bringing some rain and strong winds, and perhaps some hill snow across high ground in the north. Temperatures will be near or above normal, although a few patchy overnight frosts are still likely.

The slow moving pattern will probably continue through mid-March. Spells of rain are still possible across the west and northwest, with drier and brighter weather further east and southeast. Lower confidence by late-March, however the blocked and slow-moving weather pattern may very well persist. However the main uncertainty is whether this will lead to cyclonic and unsettled weather becoming slow moving and persistent across the UK; or continued anticyclonic pattern, which would mean more settled and perhaps colder patterns in the vicinity of the UK. In general, some rain still probable but distribution of any wetter areas is extremely low confidence. Temperatures overall near or above average, perhaps with a slightly increasing chance this may trend colder towards the end of the month.