Adventure Island (Southend-on-Sea) weather

Headline:

Cloudy and breezy morning, sunny and warm afternoon.

Today:

A cloudy and breezy start, with outbreaks of rain, some heavy at times. A bright and sunny afternoon for many as cloud clears and wind eases by early afternoon, but cloud may linger along coasts. Feeling warm in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 25 °C.

Tonight:

After a dry and clear evening, showers move in from the southwest for a time. Cooler temperatures and light winds allow some mist or fog patches to form by dawn. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Thursday:

A clear morning, clouds forming and the wind strengthening by the afternoon, though remaining dry. Temperatures staying above average. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Clear start to Friday, cloudy periods later. Cloudy periods and possibly wet in places on Saturday. Some fog patches Sunday morning, sunny spells to follow. Temperatures remain above the average.

High pressure will likely be in place over southern UK through the first few days of this period. This means plenty of dry weather to be had here, albeit with some chilly nights and overnight and morning fog in places. In the north, a rather more changeable pattern will continue, with occasional rain and windy conditions at times. Broadly changeable weather patterns look to continue through to mid-month, with ridges of high pressure extending from the southwest, interspersed by Atlantic frontal systems. These could be associated with quite deep and fast-moving depressions, bringing the potential for windy weather more widely, but perhaps more likely in the north and east. Temperatures probably near or slightly above normal overall, but with some day to day oscillations.

Quite an uncertain period of weather, with earlier signals of widely wetter than normal weather looking less likely. The second half of October will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall and in the absence of any particularly strong trends or signals, something close to climatology is preferred. This means the wettest and at times windiest weather is more likely in the west and northwest and relatively drier conditions more likely towards the south and east. With a westerly type considered most likely, this would support temperatures remaining close to or a little above average overall. However, there is a chance that more slowly evolving weather patterns develop, which could either lead to longer drier spells more widely or rainfall accumulating in climatologically drier areas.