Abergavenny Castle (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

Warm sunny spells. Rain arriving by the evening.

Today:

Any early low cloud, mist and fog soon lifting to leave warm sunny spells. Cloud increasing from the west during the afternoon with a few showers breaking out, and more persistent rain arriving by the evening in the west. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy this evening with outbreaks of rain in the west, pushing slowly eastwards overnight and reaching most of the country by dawn. Turning breezy along the coasts and hills. Minimum temperature 5 °C.

Friday:

Cloudy with rain to start. Rain gradually easing during the morning, and mainly affecting eastern parts in the afternoon. Meanwhile, some brighter spells arriving into the west. Feeling cooler. Maximum temperature 11 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Occasional patchy rain and drizzle in places, but mostly dry albeit often cloudy. Cloud breaking at times to give some sunshine. Temperatures closer to average.

The first part of this period will continue to see the UK located at the interface between high pressure across Europe and low pressure over the North Atlantic. As such, western areas will likely see spells of rain at times, along with stronger winds, whereas eastern parts should see more in the way of drier interludes, though even here, some rain is possible from time to time. Towards the middle of March, there is a signal for unsettled conditions to perhaps become more widespread, with all parts seeing a higher chance of rain and stronger winds. Throughout, temperatures should overall be a little above average for most areas.

The start of this period could see unsettled condtions quite widely across the UK, with spells of rain and strong winds affecting many areas at times. Then, whilst confidence in the details is low, there is the potential for weather patterns to become slower-moving by late March, with unsettled weather becoming more confined to parts of the south, as areas towards the north and northwest turn drier. Given this pattern, the chance of wintry hazards will increase compared to earlier in March. Overall, temperatures will probably end up near to average, but there is an increasing chance of below average temperatures towards the end of March, though at present, there is no strong sign for any really cold weather to develop.