Swyddffynnon (Ceredigion) weather

Headline:

Frosty overnight, then largely dry but colder on Wednesday.

This Evening and Tonight:

Any rain in the southeast soon clearing this evening to leave a dry night with clear spells. Turning cold and frosty with a risk of icy patches on untreated surfaces. Isolated dense freezing fog patches may also form in valleys. Minimum temperature -4 °C.

Wednesday:

Freezing fog patches slowly clearing. Otherwise a fairly bright morning but turning increasingly cloudy and breezy through the afternoon with showery rain possibly reaching the far west by dusk. Chilly. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Probably starting dry on Thursday but heavy rain developing with some hill snow. Perhaps turning windy for a time, before clearing overnight to occasional heavy showers on Friday and Saturday.

Slow evolving weather patterns in the vicinity of the UK are most favoured through this period, with low pressure often to the west or southwest and high pressure near or over Scandinavia. Areas of rain or showers will attempt to push into some western and southwestern parts of the UK in particular, but possibly making limited eastwards progress. Longer, drier interludes are most likely in the east and northeast, though potentially rather cloudy at times. A gradual trend towards colder conditions is most likely through this period, especially in the south and east. As such, whilst wintry precipitation will be more reserved for hills initially, this may become more likely to lower levels later in the period.

Initially, slowly evolving weather patterns are most likely in the vicinity of the UK, with low pressure typically to the west or southwest and high pressure to the northeast. This configuration brings an increased chance of cold conditions affecting parts of the UK, and the associated risk of wintry hazards at times. Deeper into February, and whilst confidence is naturally rather low, there may be a transition to more widely unsettled conditions and perhaps a corresponding recovery in temperature back closer to average.