Eastfield (Bristol) weather

Headline:

Heavy and perhaps thundery showers developing later today.

Today:

A cloudy start with patchy rain in places. Brightening up, with sunny spells but also the risk of showers developing. These likely to be heavy, perhaps with thunder and hail, primarily in the north of the region. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Tonight:

Showers easing somewhat during the evening but lingering for much of the night in places. Remaining largely cloudy and generally mild. Minimum temperature 9 °C.

Monday:

A cloudy start for many on bank holiday Monday, with a few bright or sunny spells emerging. Further showers are likely to bubble up during the afternoon. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

A few showers on Tuesday, but with some sunnier spells emerging. Similar on Wednesday and Thursday with variable amounts of cloud. Feeling chillier than recent days with decreasing temperatures.

There is a lot of uncertainty in the evolution through this period, more so than normal, but overall it would appear that a changeable theme is most likely. Most places are therefore likely to see some rain or showers at times, but also some drier, brighter weather. The emphasis on wetter conditions may be more towards the south and east at first, with low pressure perhaps more likely towards the south or east of the UK, before shifting further north later in the period as low pressure becomes more likely to set up to the north or northeast of the UK. After a cold start to the period, especially in the north, temperatures are likely to return to around average later.

Low pressure systems are likely to dominate across the UK at the start of this period. This means showers or longer spells of rain are likely at times, heavy in places, with the wettest conditions probably towards the northwest. There will, however, probably be some dry and warm interludes, these more likely towards the south, although temperatures are likely to be close to normal overall. Later in the month, more settled and drier conditions may begin to develop, with temperatures perhaps rising above normal.