Soundwell (South Gloucestershire) weather

Headline:

Frosty overnight with patchy fog, dry for many on Wednesday.

This Evening and Tonight:

A damp evening for some, mainly in English Channel coastal counties. Turning generally dry and clear overnight and becoming cold and frosty with a risk of icy patches on untreated surfaces. Patchy dense freezing fog forming in places. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Wednesday:

Frost and fog gradually clearing to leave some sunshine. Cloudy and damp conditions perhaps returning into southern counties by lunchtime and spreading north during the afternoon. Feeling somewhat less mild. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Heavy rain developing on Thursday, perhaps giving flooding and travel disruption later. Turning windy with gales possible, clearing overnight. Occasional heavy showers on Friday and Saturday. Temperatures near to average.

Slow evolving weather patterns in the vicinity of the UK are most favoured through this period, with low pressure often to the west or southwest and high pressure near or over Scandinavia. Areas of rain or showers will attempt to push into some western and southwestern parts of the UK in particular, but possibly making limited eastwards progress. Longer, drier interludes are most likely in the east and northeast, though potentially rather cloudy at times. A gradual trend towards colder conditions is most likely through this period, especially in the south and east. As such, whilst wintry precipitation will be more reserved for hills initially, this may become more likely to lower levels later in the period.

Initially, slowly evolving weather patterns are most likely in the vicinity of the UK, with low pressure typically to the west or southwest and high pressure to the northeast. This configuration brings an increased chance of cold conditions affecting parts of the UK, and the associated risk of wintry hazards at times. Deeper into February, and whilst confidence is naturally rather low, there may be a transition to more widely unsettled conditions and perhaps a corresponding recovery in temperature back closer to average.