Severn Beach (South Gloucestershire) weather

Headline:

Rain spreading in throughout today. Remaining unsettled next week.

Today:

A dry start for most with some sunny spells. However the far west will see rain quickly move in and this will spread erratically eastwards. The rain heavy at times, especially during the afternoon and accompanied by a brisk wind. Maximum temperature 14 °C.

Tonight:

Wet this evening, with the rain occasionally heavy, before gradually clearing to the north. Many areas becoming dry overnight with clear spells, although some showers reaching the west by dawn. Minimum temperature 9 °C.

Monday:

A largely dry start, but showers quickly becoming widespread across the region. Showers merging for a time to give a longer spell of rain, but in between some sunshine developing. Maximum temperature 14 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Remaining unsettled but mild throughout the period. Further bands of wind and rain likely to move across the region, but some drier and clearer intervals developing in-between.

The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and mild for most, with slow-moving bands of rain which could be quite heavy and prolonged in some areas. With time, the more unsettled conditions should gradually clear to the south, allowing a colder and more showery northerly flow of sorts to become established. In this setup, showers may be wintry over high ground, and perhaps occasionally to low levels in the far north, with also a greater risk of overnight frost. However, the timing of this transition is rather uncertain, and it could remain milder and wetter into the beginning of the following week, especially in the south. A general downward trend in temperature is most likely through this period, to below average in many areas beyond mid-November.

Whilst the expected weather patterns during late November are very uncertain, there is a greater chance of spells of high pressure during this period, bringing more in the way of dry weather compared to the current weather pattern, which also increases the chances of overnight fog and frost. There will probably still be some spells of rain, showers, and stronger winds though, especially in the west. Hill snow is also a possibility, mainly in the north. Overall, near or slightly above average temperatures are most likely, though some colder spells are also possible, especially should any prolonged settled spells develop.