Packwood House (Warwickshire) weather

Headline:

Staying unsettled through the weekend but with some brighter spells.

Today:

Cloudy for many with spells of rain to the west through the morning. Drier in the east to start with bright spells. Clouding over later as rain moves eastwards. Winds gradually easing with temperatures around the seasonal average. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Tonight:

Rain clears the east overnight, leaving some patchy light showers across the region. Direr spells inbetween, and possible mist and fog developing in prone spots. Staying frost free. Minimum temperature 4 °C.

Sunday:

A drier morning on Sunday with patchy showers in the west. A few brighter spells in places, but showers becoming more frequent across the region into the afternoon. Maximum temperature 9 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Low pressure remains in charge for the first week of February. Further spells of rain and showers likely which can lead to some isolated flooding in places.

Frontal systems over the North Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible on high ground in northern England and Scotland as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across northern UK at least, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards for a time.

Whilst confidence is lower through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. Temperatures for the period as a whole will likely be close to average in the southwest, but a little below in the northeast.