Shirley Heath (West Midlands Conurbation) weather

Headline:

Cloudy start today but turning brighter and very warm later.

Today:

A rather grey start, with some patchy light rain or drizzle and also murky conditions over the hills. Turning brighter by lunchtime with good spells of sunshine throughout the afternoon. Feeling very warm in the sunshine for late September. Maximum temperature 25 °C.

Tonight:

Dry with clear spells this evening, before heavy rain sweeps across the region overnight, accompanied by brisk winds for a time. Remaining mild for late September. Minimum temperature 11 °C.

Wednesday:

A wet start, with difficult travelling conditions in places. The rain will clear throughout the morning, with sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower following. Winds also easing. Maximum temperature 22 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Largely dry with sunny spells Thursday, before rain arrives Friday. Drier and brighter Saturday once early mist and fog clears. Temperatures returning nearer to average for early October.

High pressure will likely be in place across much of central and southern UK through the first few days of this period. This means plenty of dry weather to be had, albeit with some chilly nights and overnight and morning fog in places. In the north, a rather more changeable pattern will continue, with occasional rain and often breezier conditions. Towards the end of this period, high pressure may have declined somewhat, allowing lower pressure to become rather more dominant, this probably centred somewhere to the west or south of the UK, though its proximity to the UK is more uncertain. However, there is a chance of some rain developing across parts of the south by mid-month. Overall, temperatures remaining above average overall.

Quite an uncertain period of weather, with earlier signals of reliably wetter than normal weather now looking less likely. That being said, the middle of the month could be a quite a changeable period of weather overall, with the wettest weather most likely towards parts of the west and possibly south. It is quite plausible that marked regional variation in rainfall amounts will occur. Temperatures are likely to remain broadly above average overall.