Birmingham University (West Midlands Conurbation) weather

Headline:

Showers easing overnight, drier and brighter tomorrow.

This Evening and Tonight:

Any lingering showers will gradually fade this evening, with widely clear skies developing overnight. Breezy initially, but winds will also ease, allowing some mist, patchy fog, and low cloud to form in rural spots by dawn. Feeling fresher for many. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Wednesday:

Dry and bright for many with plenty of sunshine and just the outside chance of a shower in the afternoon. Feeling warmer, especially in the sunshine, with lighter winds. Maximum temperature 26 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Remaining warm on Thursday and Friday with plenty of sunshine and a few scattered showers. Cooler and unsettled on Saturday with heavy showers bringing the risk of thunder and hail.

Overall a rather more changeable pattern of weather through this period, compared to much of the summer thus far. The first couple of days could well be particularly unsettled with heavy rain and/or thunderstorms in many areas. Into the following week, a general westerly type set-up looks to become established, with occasional weather systems moving in from the Atlantic. This means further rain or showers and breezy conditions at times, interspersed with some drier, sunnier periods. Temperatures are expected to average out above normal and whilst brief hotter and humid days are possible, the chance of prolonged heat is lower than during the last few weeks. This broad pattern is likely to continue towards the end of July.

The end of July and first part of August will probably see a continuation of similar weather to the previous week or so - this being generally rather changeable with spells of rain or showers mixed in with some drier, brighter days. Towards mid-August, there are tentative signs that high pressure may become rather more dominant, which would bring more in the way dry, settled weather more widely. Temperatures are expected to continue to run above average overall, with a greater likelihood, compared to the preceding couple of weeks, of very warm or hot spells to develop by mid-August, especially further south and east.