Birmingham University (West Midlands Conurbation) weather

Headline:

Often cloudy with rain and drizzle. Brighter in the west.

Today:

Another cloudy and damp day, with further outbreaks of rain and drizzle. Staying murky over the hills. Winds remaining light with temperatures similar to previous days. Maximum temperature 8 °C.

Tonight:

Remaining cloudy this evening with further spots of rain and drizzle. Turning drier overnight with clearer spells developing and a slight breeze picking up. Minimum temperature 4 °C.

Tuesday:

A drier and brighter day on Tuesday compared to Monday, with bright or sunny spells developing. Winds freshening through the afternoon. Maximum temperature 9 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Windier with rain and showers through Wednesday. Sunshine and scattered showers on Thursday and Friday, merging into longer spells of rain at time. Temperatures around the seasonal average.

Throughout this period, the UK will see a battle between Atlantic weather systems attempting to push in from the west while high pressure and colder, drier conditions attempt to exert some influence from the east. Initially, milder Atlantic air is expected to dominate for most parts, with showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures are likely to be around or a little above average, except in the far northeast where it is likely to be colder with some sleet or snow. There is then an increased chance that conditions will turn more widely colder and drier. This aspect of the forecast is still somewhat uncertain but the potential transition to colder weather also increases the chance of snow across parts of the country.

Initially, slowly evolving weather patterns are most likely in the vicinity of the UK, with low pressure typically to the west or southwest and high pressure to the northeast. This configuration brings an increased chance of cold conditions affecting the UK, and the associated risk of wintry hazards at times. Deeper into February, whilst confidence is naturally low, there may be a transition to more widely unsettled conditions and a corresponding recovery in temperature back closer to average.