Merrick (Dumfries and Galloway) weather

Headline:

Cold and cloudy with showers.

This Evening and Tonight:

Mainly dry and cloudy, although some patchy light rain or showers around which will be wintry over the hills. East to southeast winds fresh to strong around the coasts. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Wednesday:

Dumfries and Galloway dry with some brighter spells, best around west coast. Lothian and Borders rather cloudy with a few light showers developing. Feeling chilly in east to southeast winds. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Cold with a frost a night if the cloud breaks. However, often cloudy and dry, but there will be showers around at times, these wintry over the hills.

South or southeasterly winds are likely at the start of this period, and will maintain below average temperatures and often cloudy conditions. There is a chance of even colder conditions developing temporarily, which would see more wintry showers, especially in northeastern areas. Meanwhile, frontal zones, bringing milder conditions and rain, will attempt to move in from the west or southwest. Early in this period these look likely to have limited influence over the UK (apart from the far SW which may already be milder by this point). If, or when, they push further northeastwards the chance of some snow increases. The transition between colder and milder conditions remains uncertain, but towards the end of this period, the milder, wetter conditions are likely to have spread across much of the country.

There is still a very small risk of colder conditions lingering for a time at the start of this period, but it is much more likely that a milder and unsettled theme will probably have become established, with weather systems moving close to or across the UK. This will mean bands of rain and perhaps periods of strong winds spreading in from the west, interspersed with some drier and brighter interludes, but likely bringing above average rainfall amounts overall, especially in the south and west. Temperatures are most likely to become close to or a little above average by early March.