Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
8
|
ESE
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
7
|
ESE
7
|
ESE
6
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
NNE
7
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
8
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
8
|
NW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
12
|
14
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
91%
|
91%
|
87%
|
84%
|
77%
|
73%
|
67%
|
66%
|
63%
|
61%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
62%
|
66%
|
76%
|
84%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
5°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
7°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
7
|
N
7
|
NE
7
|
ENE
7
|
ENE
6
|
ENE
7
|
NE
6
|
N
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
6
|
8
|
11
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
19
|
20
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
86%
|
80%
|
70%
|
64%
|
57%
|
54%
|
46%
|
46%
|
46%
|
46%
|
51%
|
54%
|
59%
|
66%
|
69%
|
77%
|
82%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
15
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
15
|
13
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
93%
|
93%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
94%
|
93%
|
89%
|
85%
|
81%
|
76%
|
74%
|
71%
|
68%
|
67%
|
69%
|
70%
|
73%
|
77%
|
82%
|
85%
|
91%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
11
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
16
|
NW
16
|
NW
17
|
NW
18
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
NW
19
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
18
|
20
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
| Humidity |
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
96%
|
93%
|
90%
|
86%
|
82%
|
78%
|
75%
|
74%
|
74%
|
74%
|
74%
|
76%
|
77%
|
82%
|
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
10°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
19
|
NW
18
|
NW
16
|
NW
17
|
NW
19
|
NW
18
|
NW
18
|
NW
16
|
NW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
21
|
20
|
21
|
24
|
26
|
27
|
26
|
24
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
P
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
93%
|
96%
|
95%
|
87%
|
79%
|
76%
|
81%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
9°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
10
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
13
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
14
|
WNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
17
|
20
|
23
|
25
|
25
|
23
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
96%
|
94%
|
84%
|
77%
|
75%
|
81%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
11°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
8°
|
9°
|
8°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
10
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
10
|
W
13
|
W
11
|
WNW
15
|
W
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
22
|
26
|
28
|
27
|
24
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
VP
|
| Humidity |
95%
|
96%
|
95%
|
91%
|
81%
|
74%
|
80%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
Corserine weather map
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Dry and mostly sunny Saturday, cloudy in east at first.
A fine warm sunny evening in all areas then a dry night with some long clear spells. Clouding over over the Eastern Borders and East Lothians by morning. Minimum temperature 10 °C.
A dry day. A sunny start in west but cloudy in the east. Cloud clearing the east through the morning to leave good sunny spells across the region. Maximum temperature 22 °C.
It will be a dry few days with variable cloud and some sunny spells. Mainly light winds, and on the warm side.
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Most places will be dry at first with sunny spells, especially in the south, while northern and northwestern areas see more cloud and occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Through the weekend and into next week, conditions become a little more changeable, with showers and some longer spells of rain increasingly likely, mainly across northern parts of the UK. Further south, many places should stay drier overall with some good sunshine, although a few showers cannot be ruled out. Towards the end of the period, confidence becomes lower, but there are signs that more settled and drier conditions may return, particularly in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, though occasionally fresh in the north, while temperatures are expected to be near or above average, warmest in the south.
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Confidence is always low at these lead times, especially during the summer, but signs are that high pressure will return to bring settled and mainly dry weather, especially across the south. While some showers or longer spells of rain may still affect northern parts at times early in the period, these are expected to become less frequent if dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see a good deal of dry weather with sunny spells, occasional showers or even thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. Temperatures are likely to remain above average overall, with the potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and stronger winds possible around coastal areas at times.
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