2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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15:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
60%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
24
|
S
20
|
SSW
17
|
SW
14
|
SW
13
|
WSW
14
|
WSW
16
|
SW
18
|
SW
20
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
37
|
32
|
26
|
22
|
24
|
29
|
29
|
31
|
34
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
92%
|
90%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
| UV | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
60%
|
30%
|
20%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
21
|
SSW
22
|
SSW
23
|
SSW
24
|
SSW
25
|
SW
26
|
SW
27
|
SW
27
|
SW
27
|
SW
27
|
WSW
27
|
SW
26
|
WSW
26
|
WSW
25
|
WSW
24
|
WSW
23
|
WSW
21
|
SW
20
|
SW
20
|
SW
19
|
SW
18
|
SW
16
|
SSW
14
|
SSW
12
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
36
|
37
|
40
|
41
|
43
|
42
|
43
|
42
|
42
|
43
|
43
|
42
|
43
|
41
|
39
|
37
|
35
|
34
|
31
|
30
|
28
|
26
|
25
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
88%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
30%
|
40%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
10
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
12
|
S
13
|
S
15
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
18
|
SSE
19
|
SSE
20
|
SSE
21
|
SE
22
|
SE
23
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
25
|
SSE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
22
|
SE
22
|
SE
21
|
SE
21
|
SE
20
|
SE
20
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
30
|
32
|
33
|
35
|
36
|
38
|
38
|
36
|
36
|
34
|
34
|
30
|
28
|
30
|
32
|
30
|
26
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
89%
|
88%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
19
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
17
|
ESE
16
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
15
|
ESE
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
15
|
E
16
|
E
17
|
E
16
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
14
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
12
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
25
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
24
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
88%
|
89%
|
89%
|
91%
|
90%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
E
12
|
ENE
12
|
E
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
14
|
E
15
|
ESE
17
|
E
18
|
E
18
|
E
16
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
15
|
E
14
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
13
|
E
12
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
26
|
28
|
26
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
21
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
91%
|
89%
|
89%
|
89%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
1°
|
1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
11
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
ENE
9
|
E
10
|
ENE
11
|
NE
10
|
ENE
10
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
12
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
90%
|
92%
|
92%
|
86%
|
89%
|
91%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
5°
|
5°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
2°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
10
|
ENE
8
|
ENE
8
|
E
8
|
E
10
|
E
10
|
E
9
|
E
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
11
|
11
|
9
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
91%
|
92%
|
94%
|
83%
|
89%
|
93%
|
94%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Tarbert weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
Mainly dry this morning, rain in the west this afternoon.
Mainly dry this morning, a few showers across Argyll at first. Rain will develop across the west this afternoon, but staying mainly dry in the east. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Rain, heavy for a time, will spread east for a time this evening. Scattered showers will follow on behind overnight, these most frequent and heaviest across Argyll. Strong southwesterly winds. Minimum temperature 6 °C.
A windy day with scattered showers, these heaviest and most frequent across the Argyll. Fewer showers across the south. Strong southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Cloudy and breezy on Saturday with patchy rain. Cloudy on Sunday and Monday with rain at times.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
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