Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
14°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
3
|
WNW
3
|
WNW
2
|
WNW
2
|
NNE
2
|
ENE
2
|
N
2
|
N
3
|
NNW
4
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
84%
|
75%
|
73%
|
64%
|
57%
|
50%
|
43%
|
41%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
43%
|
53%
|
62%
|
69%
|
75%
|
81%
|
| UV | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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11:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
22°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
5
|
NW
5
|
NW
4
|
NW
4
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NNW
3
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
3
|
N
3
|
N
3
|
N
3
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
6
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NW
5
|
NW
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
87%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
91%
|
85%
|
79%
|
74%
|
67%
|
64%
|
62%
|
59%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
57%
|
62%
|
64%
|
69%
|
77%
|
84%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
21°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
13°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NNW
3
|
NW
5
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
9
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
16
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
91%
|
92%
|
93%
|
94%
|
95%
|
94%
|
86%
|
84%
|
75%
|
72%
|
65%
|
64%
|
59%
|
55%
|
55%
|
55%
|
56%
|
60%
|
65%
|
68%
|
75%
|
79%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
18°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
13°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
9
|
NW
8
|
NW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
83%
|
76%
|
74%
|
70%
|
68%
|
66%
|
64%
|
61%
|
58%
|
59%
|
60%
|
63%
|
67%
|
71%
|
76%
|
84%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WNW
6
|
WNW
6
|
NW
5
|
NW
3
|
WNW
5
|
WNW
4
|
NW
3
|
NW
3
|
NNW
5
|
NW
5
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
10
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
7
|
W
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
19
|
20
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
23
|
21
|
21
|
18
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
90%
|
92%
|
92%
|
93%
|
93%
|
92%
|
85%
|
83%
|
77%
|
73%
|
68%
|
65%
|
63%
|
63%
|
62%
|
63%
|
64%
|
67%
|
68%
|
74%
|
78%
|
83%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
6
|
W
6
|
W
7
|
W
8
|
W
10
|
W
9
|
W
8
|
W
10
|
W
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
15
|
20
|
24
|
25
|
24
|
21
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
90%
|
92%
|
87%
|
77%
|
68%
|
66%
|
71%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
15°
|
16°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
8
|
W
10
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
9
|
WSW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
16
|
20
|
24
|
27
|
25
|
22
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
91%
|
88%
|
80%
|
71%
|
71%
|
79%
|
91%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dunscore weather map
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Dry, warm and mostly sunny.
Dry and warm with lengthy sunny spells for much of the day, but sunshine turning somewhat hazier as cloud spreads south in the afternoon. Warmer in the east. Maximum temperature 23 °C.
It will stay dry through the evening with some evening sunshine. Staying dry overnight with clear spells perhaps allowing the odd fog patch, somewhat cloudier in the southwest. Minimum temperature 11 °C.
It will be dry throughout the day with variable cloud and some warm sunny spells. Maximum temperature 23 °C.
Dry again on Tuesday with variable cloud and some warm sunny spells. Variable cloud and sunny spells on Wednesday and Thursday with the odd light shower at times. Breezy Thursday.
Updated:
For much of the UK, dry at first with sunny spells. Northern and northwestern areas will be cloudier with occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Towards the weekend and perhaps into the start of next week, perhaps a more unsettled period with rain at times, especially across northern parts of the UK. This rain may very well reach southern areas too, but could be light and patchy here. Confidence becomes lower as we head into next week, but there are signs that high pressure will return, which means dry conditions would resume, especially in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, occasionally fresh around northern coasts. Temperatures are expected to be near or above normal, warmest in the south, perhaps becoming very warm again by the start of August.
Updated:
Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure through August. This means settled and dry weather will likely prevail, especially across the south. There still could be rain at times across northern parts, but should become less frequent where dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for the much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible on some days given the right ingredients. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and occasionally fresh around coastal areas. Temperatures will very likely remain above normal, with potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south.
Updated: