Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNE
5
|
NNE
5
|
NNE
5
|
N
5
|
N
5
|
N
6
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
8
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
9
|
NNE
8
|
NNE
7
|
NNE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
13
|
11
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
75%
|
72%
|
68%
|
66%
|
67%
|
65%
|
65%
|
65%
|
63%
|
62%
|
60%
|
61%
|
66%
|
73%
|
77%
|
| UV | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NNE
5
|
N
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
6
|
N
6
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
NNW
7
|
NW
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
11
|
13
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
79%
|
83%
|
84%
|
83%
|
81%
|
80%
|
77%
|
74%
|
67%
|
64%
|
58%
|
54%
|
49%
|
42%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
41%
|
50%
|
61%
|
68%
|
70%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
6
|
WNW
6
|
NW
6
|
NNW
5
|
N
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
NNE
6
|
N
6
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
7
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
NNE
8
|
NE
7
|
NE
7
|
NE
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
14
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
73%
|
75%
|
78%
|
82%
|
84%
|
85%
|
83%
|
77%
|
71%
|
64%
|
62%
|
58%
|
56%
|
54%
|
52%
|
51%
|
51%
|
52%
|
54%
|
58%
|
63%
|
67%
|
71%
|
74%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
21°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
22°
|
21°
|
20°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
13°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
19°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
20°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
5
|
NE
5
|
NNE
5
|
NNE
4
|
NNE
4
|
NNE
3
|
N
3
|
NNE
3
|
NE
4
|
ENE
4
|
ENE
4
|
NNE
4
|
N
4
|
NW
5
|
NW
6
|
NW
7
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
WNW
9
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
6
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
17
|
18
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
77%
|
80%
|
81%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
77%
|
75%
|
72%
|
69%
|
66%
|
63%
|
58%
|
57%
|
56%
|
56%
|
56%
|
60%
|
64%
|
69%
|
76%
|
81%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
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14:00
|
15:00
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16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
18°
|
17°
|
16°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
7
|
W
8
|
W
8
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
8
|
WNW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
8
|
NW
8
|
NW
7
|
NW
7
|
NNW
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
14
|
12
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
14
|
12
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
88%
|
86%
|
83%
|
76%
|
73%
|
68%
|
65%
|
59%
|
56%
|
55%
|
54%
|
54%
|
54%
|
56%
|
61%
|
65%
|
71%
|
76%
|
79%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
16°
|
19°
|
21°
|
19°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
16°
|
18°
|
20°
|
18°
|
15°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
N
5
|
N
4
|
ENE
3
|
NNW
3
|
N
4
|
NW
7
|
WNW
7
|
WNW
9
|
W
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
8
|
7
|
10
|
14
|
19
|
21
|
20
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
83%
|
85%
|
91%
|
88%
|
74%
|
61%
|
55%
|
61%
|
74%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
15°
|
13°
|
14°
|
17°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
|
12°
|
13°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
16°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
7
|
W
9
|
W
9
|
W
10
|
WNW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
15
|
20
|
24
|
26
|
26
|
23
|
18
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
89%
|
86%
|
75%
|
63%
|
58%
|
64%
|
75%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
Clayton weather map
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Chance of early drizzle or light rain, then becoming brighter.
Cloudy, with early patchy light rain or drizzle possible. Then becoming dry and brighter for most places with some sunny intervals gradually developing, but also perhaps isolated light coastal showers. Light northerly winds inland, breezy and cooler along the coast. Maximum temperature 20 °C.
Clear spells and patchy cloud, with a chance of isolated light showers reaching coastal areas, where it will become windy. Becoming cooler for many places, compared to recent nights. Minimum temperature 10 °C.
Dry with patchy cloud, especially through the morning, but also sunny spells which will become prolonged later. Highest temperatures inland, breezy and rather cool along the coast. Maximum temperature 21 °C.
Largely dry and cloudy, but also some bright spells will occur. Predominantly dry, but with a chance of a little light rain Wednesday. Temperatures generally average or slightly above.
Updated:
Most places will be dry at first with sunny spells, especially in the south, while northern and northwestern areas see more cloud and occasional patchy rain or drizzle. Through the weekend and into next week, conditions become a little more changeable, with showers and some longer spells of rain increasingly likely, mainly across northern parts of the UK. Further south, many places should stay drier overall with some good sunshine, although a few showers cannot be ruled out. Towards the end of the period, confidence becomes lower, but there are signs that more settled and drier conditions may return, particularly in the south. Winds will be mostly light or moderate, though occasionally fresh in the north, while temperatures are expected to be near or above average, warmest in the south.
Updated:
Confidence is always low at these lead times, especially during the summer, but signs are that high pressure will return to bring settled and mainly dry weather, especially across the south. While some showers or longer spells of rain may still affect northern parts at times early in the period, these are expected to become less frequent if dry and warm conditions extend northwards. Although most areas may see a good deal of dry weather with sunny spells, occasional showers or even thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. Temperatures are likely to remain above average overall, with the potential for further hot spells, particularly in the south. Winds are expected to be generally light or moderate, and stronger winds possible around coastal areas at times.
Updated: