Headline:

Sunday, rain clearing to blustery showers. Windy and feeling chilly.

Today:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain moving east. Some locally heavy bursts of rain before clearing away eastwards mid- afternoon. Squally heavy showers to follow, turning wintry over higher ground. Feeling chilly, with winds strong and gusty. Maximum temperature 11 °C.

Tonight:

Rather windy with further blustery showers, especially across the Pennines, where wintry. Drier in the east with some clear spells, but cold with a touch of frost in shelter. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Monday:

Isolated showers giving way to thickening cloud and outbreaks of rain from the west into the afternoon. Breezy then becoming windy again later. Temperatures near average. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Often rather cloudy. Some patchy light rain at times, especially on western hills. Perhaps brighter spells developing towards the south. Strong winds Tuesday, easing into midweek. Turning milder.

It will quickly turn more settled everywhere, with most places predominantly dry. Temperatures will fluctuate between being milder than average to colder than average, so it is possible we could see some overnight frost and fog, but overall by day there should be frequent spells of pleasant spring sunshine making it feel fine away from coasts exposed to a brisk easterly wind. How long the settled conditions last is less certain with some signals that showers / rain could return later in the period.

Blocked, or slowly evolving, weather patterns are favoured for late March into early April, with high pressure probably building to the north or northeast of the UK. Whilst confidence is low in how this will influence the weather across the UK, this tends to lead to a more prolonged period of a certain weather type, be it settled or unsettled. In any case, a reduction in Atlantic-dominated weather patterns is likely, although some wet weather remains possible at times, perhaps more especially in the south and east whilst northwestern areas tend to be drier than average. Temperatures will probably be close to average for the period as a whole, but there is an increased chance of some colder conditions developing for a time with a risk of frost.