Headline:

Showers easing this evening. Clear spells overnight, risk of frost.

This Evening and Tonight:

Showers, perhaps heavy with thunder, lingering into the evening before gradually fading. Becoming dry overnight, with prolonged clear spells. Turning chilly, with some frost mainly in prone rural spots. Some isolated mist and fog patches. Light winds. Minimum temperature -1 °C.

Tuesday:

A bright, chilly start, but cloud thickening from the west. Outbreaks of light rain, mainly for western areas, during the afternoon. Some brightness lingering in the east. Turning breezy. Mild. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Cloudy and windy with outbreaks of rain Wednesday, clearing overnight. Sunny spells with showers Thursday and Friday. Generally mild, but occasionally breezy.

A few showers around at the start of the period, mainly affecting the northwest where it will also be windy for a time. For many though the weekend should be fine and dry with spells of warm sunshine, but still some chilly nights. Into the following week fronts associated with another Atlantic low will try to push into the UK, but may struggle to make inroads against an area of high pressure to the northeast. So the greater chance of some rain is for western areas, while northern and eastern areas may well see plenty of dry weather. Temperatures likely remaining above average.

The dominant pattern during this period is most likely to be high pressure (or higher than average pressure) to the north and lower pressure to the south. This will probably lead to drier and more settled than normal weather in the north or northwest of the UK, with the south and possibly east more unsettled and wetter than normal. Temperatures will probably be close to or slightly above average overall.