Headline:

Dry start. Rain spreading east through the afternoon. Breezy.

Today:

Mainly dry start, perhaps brief brighter spells, before cloud soon thickens from the west. Rain moving into western parts through the afternoon, turning persistent and heavy at times, with some outbreaks also spreading further east. Breezy, especially over the Pennines. Maximum temperature 13 °C.

Tonight:

Rain or drizzle clearing most parts by midnight, although the odd spot of drizzle perhaps continuing in the far south. Staying rather cloudy, with hill fog. Winds becoming light. Minimum temperature 6 °C.

Friday:

Cloudy, but mostly dry, although outbreaks of light rain or drizzle remains possible. These most likely across Humberside or with any hill fog, and most likely through the afternoon. Maximum temperature 12 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Cloudy with rain Saturday morning, clearing to brighter spells later, and overnight frost. Winds strengthening Sunday and Monday, with some rain spreading east, but also drier and brighter intervals. Mild.

This period will start with cloud, rain and strong winds affecting northern and western parts of the UK on Monday. The cloud and rain is expected to ease and clear to the southeast during Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the west. There is now a signal for high pressure to be largely dominant through the rest of this period. This will mean many places seeing plenty of dry weather with variable cloud amounts and some sunshine, but perhaps with some fog overnight. Frontal systems may still graze the north and west of the UK at times though, maybe also briefly affecting other parts. Temperatures will be near or above normal, although patchy overnight frost is still likely at times.

After a potentially mainly dry and settled start to this period, changeable conditions look likely to resume, with Atlantic frontal systems spreading across the UK at times. These will bring spells of rain and perhaps strong winds, with the wettest conditions likely to be in the northwest, whilst the southeast will likely be driest. Temperatures are likely to be near to or slightly above normal overall. It is possible that longer spells of dry weather develop again later in the month as a more blocked pattern could develop, which could lead to some colder conditions too, but confidence is very low by this stage.