2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
40%
|
50%
|
70%
|
90%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
60%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
21
|
SSE
25
|
SSE
29
|
SSE
30
|
SSE
30
|
SSE
29
|
S
24
|
S
19
|
SSW
16
|
SW
15
|
WSW
14
|
SW
16
|
SW
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
31
|
34
|
36
|
37
|
36
|
34
|
29
|
25
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
28
|
30
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
G
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
86%
|
88%
|
91%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
92%
|
88%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
70%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
≥95%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
70%
|
70%
|
60%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-4°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
22
|
SSW
25
|
SSW
28
|
SSW
30
|
SSW
30
|
SSW
31
|
SW
31
|
SW
30
|
SW
29
|
SW
29
|
SW
32
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
30
|
WSW
31
|
WSW
29
|
WSW
27
|
SW
25
|
SW
23
|
SW
23
|
SW
23
|
SSW
22
|
SSW
19
|
S
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
32
|
33
|
37
|
39
|
41
|
43
|
42
|
43
|
42
|
42
|
42
|
43
|
42
|
41
|
40
|
37
|
34
|
32
|
32
|
30
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
87%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
90%
|
91%
|
89%
|
89%
|
89%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
88%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
|
11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
|
19:00
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20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
50%
|
60%
|
60%
|
70%
|
60%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
17
|
SSE
18
|
SSE
19
|
SSE
21
|
SSE
22
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
25
|
SE
27
|
SE
28
|
SSE
28
|
SE
31
|
SE
32
|
SSE
33
|
SE
33
|
SE
33
|
SE
32
|
SE
30
|
SE
29
|
SE
28
|
SE
27
|
SE
25
|
ESE
25
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
21
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
23
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
27
|
29
|
32
|
33
|
34
|
35
|
33
|
35
|
36
|
36
|
35
|
33
|
32
|
31
|
29
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
24
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-2°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
0°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
20
|
E
19
|
E
19
|
E
19
|
ENE
20
|
ENE
20
|
ENE
21
|
ENE
21
|
ENE
21
|
ENE
21
|
E
23
|
E
23
|
E
24
|
E
24
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
26
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
24
|
ENE
23
|
ENE
21
|
ENE
21
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
22
|
21
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
25
|
23
|
23
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
21
|
NE
21
|
NE
21
|
ENE
22
|
ENE
22
|
NE
23
|
ENE
25
|
ENE
26
|
E
29
|
E
28
|
E
27
|
E
27
|
E
27
|
E
25
|
E
24
|
E
26
|
ENE
23
|
E
22
|
E
21
|
E
21
|
E
20
|
E
21
|
ENE
19
|
ENE
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
27
|
29
|
32
|
31
|
30
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
26
|
24
|
23
|
22
|
23
|
21
|
23
|
21
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
86%
|
87%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
88%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
-1°
|
-2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
16
|
ENE
14
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
13
|
NE
13
|
E
13
|
E
12
|
ENE
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
18
|
15
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
13
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
90%
|
91%
|
91%
|
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
4°
|
3°
|
2°
|
1°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-3°
|
-1°
|
-1°
|
-3°
|
-4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
13
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
12
|
ENE
11
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
13
|
ENE
10
|
ENE
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
14
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
14
|
14
|
11
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
| Humidity |
88%
|
90%
|
89%
|
91%
|
83%
|
88%
|
91%
|
92%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Loch Etive weather map
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Mainly dry this morning, rain in the west this afternoon.
Mainly dry this morning, a few showers across Argyll at first. Rain will develop across the west this afternoon, but staying mainly dry in the east. Maximum temperature 8 °C.
Rain, heavy for a time, will spread east for a time this evening. Scattered showers will follow on behind overnight, these most frequent and heaviest across Argyll. Strong southwesterly winds. Minimum temperature 6 °C.
A windy day with scattered showers, these heaviest and most frequent across the Argyll. Fewer showers across the south. Strong southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Cloudy and breezy on Saturday with patchy rain. Cloudy on Sunday and Monday with rain at times.
Updated:
Unsettled conditions are likely to continue at first, with low pressure probably centred somewhere to the southwest of the UK, whilst high pressure becomes established to the northeast. This means a broadly easterly flow will become increasingly dominant through next week, whilst periods of rain or showers become increasingly confined to southern or southwestern parts. With time, high pressure is signaled to become more dominant with more in the way of dry, settled weather anticipated though there could be some isolated showers to eastern parts, that could perhaps be wintry at times. Temperatures will lower compared to recent weeks, closer to or perhaps a little below average for many. Overnight frost and fog or freezing fog could become more prevalent, though any particularly cold conditions look unlikely at this stage.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: