Penshurst Place (Kent) weather

Headline:

Sunday, bright spells developing, some heavy afternoon showers in north.

Today:

Often rather cloudy but bright or sunny spells developing through the morning, and still feeling pleasantly warm. Scattered heavy showers may develop into the afternoon, towards the north, with a chance of thunder. Winds generally light. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Showers in the north fading as cloudier conditions extend southwards, perhaps some fog patches forming in any clearer breaks ahead of this. Light winds. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Monday:

Gradually turning brighter with warm sunny spells developing and also scattered afternoon showers, these locally heavy with a low chance of thunder. Winds remaining generally light. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Bright or sunny spells and a chance of showers each day, these perhaps more likely Tuesday. Turning cooler, with overnight rural grass frost possible in sheltered spots. Winds mostly light.

There is a lot of uncertainty in the evolution through this period, more so than normal, but overall it would appear that a changeable theme is most likely. Most places are therefore likely to see some rain or showers at times, but also some drier, brighter weather. The emphasis on wetter conditions may be more towards the south and east at first, with low pressure perhaps more likely towards the south or east of the UK, before shifting further north later in the period as low pressure becomes more likely to set up to the north or northeast of the UK. After a cold start to the period, especially in the north, temperatures are likely to return to around average later.

Low pressure systems are likely to dominate across the UK at the start of this period. This means showers or longer spells of rain are likely at times, heavy in places, with the wettest conditions probably towards the northwest. There will, however, probably be some dry and warm interludes, these more likely towards the south, although temperatures are likely to be close to normal overall. Later in the month, more settled and drier conditions may begin to develop, with temperatures perhaps rising above normal.