Abergavenny (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

Isolated showers but turning drier and sunny.

Today:

Any isolated showers in the morning will fade away rather quickly, as cloud lifts and breaks into the afternoon. Becoming dry, with sunny spells. Feeling pleasantly warm for all in a light westerly breeze. Maximum temperature 22 °C.

Tonight:

A fine evening to come. A clear and dry night for all. Feeling rather cool or even chilly in rural spots. Minimum temperature 5 °C.

Saturday:

A dry and bright morning. High cloud at times will turn the sunshine hazy. Feeling pleasantly warm to even hot in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 28 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

High pressure remains in charge for the next few days. Although temperatures may dip slightly on Monday, they will start to climb again on Tuesday. Staying mostly dry throughout.

A mixed start is likely to this period, with some rain or showers in the north and quite breezy conditions while in the south it will be mostly dry, sunny and hot, even very hot in some places. Southern parts are likely to turn cooler and fresher next weekend though. Further into August, areas of low pressure may start to track further south and east. This means there is a greater chance of frontal systems or thundery interludes affecting southern and eastern areas in comparison to recent weeks, though rainfall amounts could be quite variable with some areas still seeing relatively little. Temperatures are likely to remain above average, especially in the south, where it may be very warm or hot at times.

The broad theme of high pressure remaining in place at least close to the UK seems most probable, with occasional more unsettled or changeable interludes, either resulting from Atlantic frontal systems or thundery plumes. This means that rainfall amounts overall are more likely to be below normal than above. Temperatures will probably be above average and some spells of hot weather and heatwaves are possible, especially in the south.