Climate extremes are becoming the new ‘normal’ for the UK
“What we used to think of as extreme, we increasingly consider as normal.” That is the summarising comment from Mike Kendon, the Met Office lead author of the …
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
19°
|
21°
|
22°
|
22°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
23°
|
22°
|
20°
|
19°
|
17°
|
15°
|
15°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
12°
|
14°
|
15°
|
17°
|
18°
|
20°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
21°
|
20°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
9
|
SE
9
|
SE
9
|
SE
9
|
SSE
9
|
SE
8
|
ESE
6
|
N
5
|
W
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
5
|
NNW
6
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
8
|
N
9
|
N
9
|
N
10
|
N
9
|
NNW
8
|
NNW
7
|
NNW
6
|
WNW
6
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
| Visibility (description) |
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
77%
|
77%
|
77%
|
78%
|
76%
|
77%
|
79%
|
72%
|
64%
|
59%
|
56%
|
48%
|
42%
|
41%
|
41%
|
41%
|
42%
|
43%
|
47%
|
54%
|
63%
|
71%
|
75%
|
76%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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08:00
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11:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
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<5%
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<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
18°
|
18°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
20°
|
19°
|
18°
|
16°
|
14°
|
14°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
15°
|
17°
|
17°
|
18°
|
19°
|
19°
|
19°
|
18°
|
18°
|
16°
|
15°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
6
|
NW
6
|
NNW
6
|
N
6
|
ENE
6
|
ENE
6
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
NE
5
|
NNE
5
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
N
6
|
N
7
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
8
|
N
9
|
N
8
|
NNW
8
|
NW
7
|
WSW
6
|
S
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
75%
|
74%
|
74%
|
72%
|
72%
|
73%
|
70%
|
68%
|
65%
|
63%
|
59%
|
56%
|
54%
|
53%
|
51%
|
51%
|
52%
|
53%
|
57%
|
67%
|
78%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
17°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
12°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
14°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
11°
|
10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
8
|
SSE
10
|
SE
10
|
SE
8
|
SE
7
|
SE
5
|
SE
5
|
ESE
5
|
NE
5
|
NNE
5
|
N
6
|
NNW
9
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
10
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
9
|
WNW
8
|
WSW
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
10
|
11
|
11
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
13
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
17
|
16
|
15
|
13
|
13
|
12
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
89%
|
90%
|
89%
|
85%
|
83%
|
75%
|
67%
|
63%
|
58%
|
57%
|
55%
|
54%
|
54%
|
55%
|
57%
|
62%
|
66%
|
75%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
15°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
16°
|
15°
|
14°
|
13°
|
12°
|
11°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
11°
|
11°
|
12°
|
13°
|
13°
|
14°
|
14°
|
13°
|
13°
|
12°
|
12°
|
11°
|
10°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
S
8
|
SE
8
|
SE
8
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
7
|
SSE
6
|
S
6
|
SSW
6
|
W
6
|
NNW
7
|
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
13
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
14
|
NW
13
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
WNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
11
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
8
|
8
|
7
|
7
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
17
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
M
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
M
|
M
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
89%
|
87%
|
80%
|
73%
|
70%
|
63%
|
59%
|
56%
|
54%
|
54%
|
53%
|
53%
|
56%
|
59%
|
64%
|
70%
|
78%
|
84%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
11°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
12°
|
15°
|
15°
|
15°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
8°
|
10°
|
12°
|
13°
|
12°
|
10°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
13
|
WNW
11
|
NW
11
|
NW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NNW
11
|
NW
11
|
WNW
8
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
17
|
16
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
16
|
8
|
| Visibility (description) |
M
|
P
|
P
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
92%
|
93%
|
91%
|
77%
|
67%
|
64%
|
69%
|
87%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
13°
|
15°
|
16°
|
14°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
12°
|
13°
|
14°
|
12°
|
9°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
5
|
NW
5
|
NW
5
|
NW
8
|
NW
10
|
NW
10
|
NW
9
|
WNW
9
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
6
|
6
|
12
|
17
|
19
|
19
|
16
|
10
|
| Visibility (description) |
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
M
|
| Humidity |
97%
|
99%
|
96%
|
75%
|
64%
|
61%
|
71%
|
90%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
8°
|
9°
|
11°
|
13°
|
13°
|
13°
|
11°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
9°
|
11°
|
11°
|
10°
|
8°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NW
9
|
NW
9
|
NW
8
|
NW
9
|
NW
10
|
NW
11
|
WNW
11
|
WNW
11
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
11
|
15
|
18
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
P
|
VP
|
VP
|
P
|
M
|
G
|
M
|
P
|
| Humidity |
96%
|
97%
|
95%
|
83%
|
71%
|
70%
|
76%
|
89%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
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Remaining settled, dry with sunny spells.
This evening will be dry with some late sunshine but cloud along the East Lothian and Berwickshire coast gradually edging inland tonight, but the Southwest Borders, and Dumfries and Galloway remaining clear, and turning quite chilly there. Minimum temperature 10 °C.
Low cloud in the east burning back to the coast, otherwise dry and sunny. Very warm or hot in the southwest, cooler in the east. Maximum temperature 27 °C.
A dry and settled few days with variable amounts of cloud and some sunny spells. Turning warmer in east, while the west cools off a little.
Updated:
Remaining predominantly dry for most parts of the country as high pressure is likely to remain close to the UK for much of this period. However, with the source region of the air being from the North Atlantic, it will be less hot compared to many recent days. Any showers during the start of the period are more likely across the far north. Towards the latter part of July, the influence of high pressure may wane somewhat, allowing a greater chance of rain, showers or thunderstorms compared to earlier in the month, these initially more likely across the north before possibly transferring south. Overall, temperatures are expected to remain above average during this period.
Updated:
Perhaps a somewhat more changeable period, with the potential for showers or thunderstorms or even some longer spells of rain at times. Drier and brighter interludes are also likely, perhaps more likely across the south and southeast. Temperatures are likely to be above normal with some hot spells possible.
Updated: