Why probability is the key to future weather forecasts
Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.
Read more| Time |
09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
50%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
4
|
E
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
73%
|
73%
|
72%
|
70%
|
69%
|
72%
|
74%
|
75%
|
77%
|
79%
|
81%
|
82%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
4°
|
3°
|
3°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
6
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
6
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
16
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
21
|
22
|
24
|
26
|
27
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
28
|
28
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
83%
|
82%
|
80%
|
78%
|
76%
|
73%
|
69%
|
67%
|
65%
|
66%
|
67%
|
71%
|
73%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
0°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
1°
|
2°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
7
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
6
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
28
|
29
|
29
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
26
|
27
|
27
|
27
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
28
|
27
|
26
|
24
|
23
|
23
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
74%
|
72%
|
71%
|
71%
|
71%
|
72%
|
74%
|
76%
|
77%
|
79%
|
82%
|
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
E
6
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
20
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
22
|
22
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
83%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
80%
|
77%
|
76%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
77%
|
82%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
E
5
|
E
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
5
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
4
|
ESE
3
|
ESE
3
|
ESE
3
|
ESE
3
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
13
|
13
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
83%
|
80%
|
78%
|
77%
|
76%
|
76%
|
77%
|
80%
|
83%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
87%
|
87%
|
88%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
7°
|
8°
|
6°
|
5°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
6°
|
7°
|
6°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
3
|
ESE
3
|
ESE
3
|
ESE
2
|
ESE
3
|
SE
4
|
ESE
3
|
E
2
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
13
|
11
|
10
|
10
|
14
|
15
|
12
|
9
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
89%
|
90%
|
94%
|
93%
|
82%
|
79%
|
91%
|
93%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
5°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
7°
|
7°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
4°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
E
2
|
E
2
|
E
2
|
E
3
|
E
5
|
ESE
6
|
E
5
|
E
4
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
9
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
18
|
22
|
20
|
16
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
94%
|
92%
|
91%
|
90%
|
79%
|
76%
|
83%
|
84%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Loch Duich weather map
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Rain, sleet and snow but mainly dry west. Windy.
Rain, sleet and snow in the east, persistent during the morning but the snow will become increasingly confined to high ground during the afternoon. Mainly dry in the west. Windy. Maximum temperature 6 °C.
The night will continue windy with rain and hill snow in the east and mostly dry conditions in the west. Drier conditions spread to the south later. Minimum temperature 1 °C.
Rain and hill snow in the east will soon retreat to the north where the snow will fall to lower levels from the afternoon. Drier in the south, brighter southwest. Maximum temperature 5 °C.
Friday to Sunday will stay cloudy. The south will continue dry with bright spells in the southwest. Rain and hill snow will continue in the north where breezy at times.
Updated:
Cyclonic patterns are expected to dominate across the UK during mid-February. Frontal systems over the Atlantic are likely to approach the UK at times, tending to become slow moving as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the northeast. This will result in showers or longer spells of rain spreading across the UK, these heavy at times. Rainfall amounts will probably be highest in parts of the west, including across areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, snow is possible across northern England and Scotland, mainly over high ground. Strong winds could develop in places, especially coasts. Temperatures will probably be close to normal overall, with any cold conditions more likely in the north.
Updated:
Changeable conditions are expected across the UK during this period. Low pressure systems will probably dominate, meaning showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, for much of the UK and some hill snow in the north. Periods of strong wind are also possible, especially around coasts. Temperatures will likely be close to average or slightly above overall.
Updated: