Tomintoul Youth Hostel (Moray) weather

Headline:

Outbreaks of rain, some heavy. Becoming windy.

Today:

Outbreaks of rain, these heavy at times at first. This rain will clear from the east later in the morning, leaving patchy rain over the hills in the afternoon. Becoming windy along the coasts. Maximum temperature 11 °C.

Tonight:

The patchy evening rain over the hills will clear later. Clear spells will increase from the late evening with fog patches likely later. Minimum temperature 2 °C.

Tuesday:

The morning will be dry with sunny spells. Cloud will soon build from the south with rain following north from early afternoon. This becoming heavy later. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Outbreaks of locally heavy rain continue through Wednesday before clearing overnight. Thursday and Friday become cold with a few showers in the north as the wind turns northerly and freshens.

The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and mild for most, with slow-moving bands of rain which could be quite heavy and prolonged in some areas. With time, the more unsettled conditions should gradually clear to the south, allowing a colder and more showery northerly flow of sorts to become established. In this setup, showers may be wintry over high ground, and perhaps occasionally to low levels in the far north, with also a greater risk of overnight frost. However, the timing of this transition is rather uncertain, and it could remain milder and wetter into the beginning of the following week, especially in the south. A general downward trend in temperature is most likely through this period, to below average in many areas beyond mid-November.

Whilst the expected weather patterns during late November are very uncertain, there is a greater chance of spells of high pressure during this period, bringing more in the way of dry weather compared to the current weather pattern, which also increases the chances of overnight fog and frost. There will probably still be some spells of rain, showers, and stronger winds though, especially in the west. Hill snow is also a possibility, mainly in the north. Overall, near or slightly above average temperatures are most likely, though some colder spells are also possible, especially should any prolonged settled spells develop.