2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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11:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | |||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
60%
|
40%
|
50%
|
50%
|
60%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
90%
|
70%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
7°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
1°
|
2°
|
2°
|
2°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
3°
|
4°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSW
27
|
SSW
29
|
SSW
29
|
SSW
28
|
SW
29
|
SW
29
|
SW
29
|
SW
28
|
WSW
27
|
WSW
27
|
W
25
|
W
24
|
W
24
|
W
23
|
W
20
|
W
18
|
W
17
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
43
|
43
|
43
|
44
|
44
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
42
|
39
|
37
|
34
|
32
|
30
|
27
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
| Humidity |
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
86%
|
86%
|
84%
|
84%
|
79%
|
79%
|
79%
|
77%
|
80%
|
79%
|
| UV | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
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01:00
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02:00
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03:00
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04:00
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05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
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23:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
WSW
15
|
WSW
13
|
SW
13
|
SW
13
|
SW
11
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
10
|
SSW
10
|
S
9
|
S
10
|
S
12
|
S
14
|
S
15
|
S
15
|
S
15
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
15
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
SSE
16
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
23
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
21
|
19
|
18
|
18
|
18
|
19
|
21
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
25
|
| Visibility (description) |
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
83%
|
84%
|
87%
|
88%
|
91%
|
92%
|
91%
|
88%
|
89%
|
88%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
83%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
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04:00
|
05:00
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06:00
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07:00
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08:00
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09:00
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10:00
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11:00
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12:00
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13:00
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14:00
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15:00
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16:00
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17:00
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18:00
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19:00
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20:00
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21:00
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22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
50%
|
50%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
15
|
SSE
15
|
SE
15
|
SE
14
|
SE
14
|
SE
15
|
SE
15
|
SE
15
|
ESE
16
|
ESE
17
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
18
|
ESE
19
|
ESE
19
|
ESE
20
|
ESE
20
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
21
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
22
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
23
|
ESE
24
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
24
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
25
|
26
|
28
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
30
|
31
|
32
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
E
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
82%
|
81%
|
78%
|
78%
|
78%
|
79%
|
77%
|
82%
|
78%
|
78%
|
79%
|
77%
|
78%
|
80%
|
81%
|
83%
|
82%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
85%
|
86%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
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02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
10°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ESE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
25
|
SE
25
|
SE
26
|
SE
26
|
SE
26
|
SE
27
|
SE
27
|
SE
27
|
SE
26
|
SE
27
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
32
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
30
|
31
|
32
|
33
|
34
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
32
|
32
|
33
|
32
|
33
|
34
|
33
|
34
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
86%
|
87%
|
87%
|
87%
|
86%
|
86%
|
88%
|
86%
|
86%
|
85%
|
85%
|
84%
|
84%
|
84%
|
83%
|
83%
|
82%
|
81%
|
81%
|
80%
|
80%
|
77%
|
77%
|
76%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SE
26
|
SE
25
|
SE
25
|
SE
25
|
SE
25
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
24
|
SE
23
|
SE
23
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
23
|
SSE
22
|
SSE
22
|
SSE
21
|
SSE
21
|
SSE
20
|
SSE
19
|
SSE
18
|
SSE
18
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
34
|
34
|
34
|
33
|
32
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
33
|
32
|
30
|
30
|
28
|
26
|
26
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
22
|
21
|
21
|
20
|
20
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
76%
|
76%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
74%
|
73%
|
74%
|
73%
|
74%
|
73%
|
74%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
74%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
75%
|
| UV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
8°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
6°
|
5°
|
6°
|
6°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
17
|
SSE
15
|
S
14
|
SSE
14
|
SSE
14
|
S
14
|
SSE
14
|
SSE
13
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
19
|
17
|
15
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
75%
|
74%
|
74%
|
75%
|
75%
|
78%
|
78%
|
79%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| Time |
00:00
|
03:00
|
06:00
|
09:00
|
12:00
|
15:00
|
18:00
|
21:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather symbols | ||||||||
| Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
| Temperature (°C) |
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
8°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
9°
|
| Feels like temperature (°C) |
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
5°
|
| Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SSE
13
|
SSE
13
|
S
14
|
SSE
14
|
SSE
14
|
S
15
|
SSE
14
|
SSE
14
|
| Wind gust (mph) |
15
|
15
|
15
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
| Visibility (description) |
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
VG
|
G
|
G
|
VG
|
| Humidity |
81%
|
80%
|
80%
|
81%
|
80%
|
80%
|
80%
|
81%
|
| UV | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
North Ronaldsay Airfield weather map
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Showery and breezy for Friday.
A day of frequent showers mixed between limited brighter spells. Chance of hail and thunder, particularly for Shetland. Southwest winds strong, perhaps touching gale late morning and early afternoon. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Scattered showers early evening, gradually dwindling late evening and overnight, as winds ease and back to a moderate south to southwest breeze come dawn. Minimum temperature 6 °C.
Occasional brighter spells on a mainly dry day with only a few well scattered showers appearing. Winds now backed south to southeast. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Southeast winds maintaining rather cloudy skies and showers that merge to longer periods of light to moderate rain at times, most readily Orkney.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure will probably be close to the UK at the start of this period, perhaps most likely centred to the west, and whilst this may allow relatively settled and dry conditions with a risk of frost and fog initially, there will be the chance of some occasional wet weather at times, perhaps more especially in the north and east. Given some relatively cold air close to the UK, this may bring the chance of some wintry hazards in places. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to develop more widely, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: